The bitcoin price today has barely moved since Friday night: it stood at $75,939.92 at 07:48 UTC on Saturday 7 November, according to Coinbase one-minute candles, 0.2% above where it was when Wall Street closed at 21:00 UTC on Friday. The whole night fitted inside a $481 range. The week’s data did move: US spot bitcoin ETFs lost $411.9 million on Friday, their second outflow above $400 million in two sessions, according to Farside Investors, and the Crypto Fear & Greed Index slipped to 25 from 28.
Our report on Thursday’s AI rout and the jobs data and Friday’s US session analysis stopped at 17:49 UTC on Friday, before the close and before the day’s ETF numbers. This piece picks up from there: the overnight tape, Friday’s fund flows from two providers, what on-chain data says about who sold, and a week whose first real test is the October consumer price index on Tuesday 10 November at 13:30 UTC.
Bitcoin price today: a $481 range overnight
The Friday cash close in New York came at 16:00 Eastern time, which is 21:00 UTC now that the US is back on standard time. Bitcoin opened that minute on Coinbase at $75,763.84. Its high of the night, $76,086.99, printed at 22:02 UTC; the low, $75,605.94, came half an hour earlier, at 21:33 UTC. Since then the price has stayed inside that band.
Ether followed the same pattern on a slightly wider band. It opened the 21:00 UTC minute at $2,225.84, touched $2,250.35 in the same 22:02 UTC minute as bitcoin’s high, dipped to $2,221.12 at 21:32 UTC and stood at $2,241.78 at 07:48 UTC. That is a 0.7% gain over the night and a range of about 1.3%. Ether has not gone back to $2,200 since Friday’s low of $2,205.74 at 15:05 UTC.
Among the other large coins, only XRP showed a visible dip. On Coinbase hourly candles it went from $1.1717 at the 21:00 UTC open to a low of $1.1503 in the 03:00 and 04:00 UTC hours, about 1.8% lower, before climbing back to $1.1720 at 07:48 UTC. CoinGlass counted $8.36 million of liquidated XRP long positions over the 12 hours to 07:45 UTC. Solana barely moved: $89.81 at the open, $90.07 at 07:48 UTC, never outside $89.59 to $90.60.
| Asset (Coinbase) | 21:00 UTC Fri open | 07:48 UTC Sat | Night high | Night low |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC-USD | $75,763.84 | $75,939.92 | $76,086.99 (22:02 UTC) | $75,605.94 (21:33 UTC) |
| ETH-USD | $2,225.84 | $2,241.78 | $2,250.35 (22:02 UTC) | $2,221.12 (21:32 UTC) |
| SOL-USD | $89.81 | $90.07 | $90.60 (22:00 UTC hour) | $89.59 (21:00 UTC hour) |
| XRP-USD | $1.1717 | $1.1720 | $1.1835 (22:00 UTC hour) | $1.1503 (03:00 and 04:00 UTC hours) |
For the UTC day of Friday 6 November, bitcoin’s Coinbase daily candle closed at $75,731.04, about 0.3% below Thursday’s close of $75,969.06. So Friday’s 15:05 UTC drop to $74,722, the lowest Coinbase print since 21 August, left a long lower wick on the daily chart rather than a lower close. Across the market, Coindaro’s snapshot at 07:46 UTC put total crypto capitalisation at $2.57 trillion, 2.21% lower over 24 hours, with bitcoin’s dominance at 59.3%.
The sentiment gauge did not share the calm. The Fear & Greed Index from Alternative.me read 25 on Saturday, a level the index labels extreme fear, down from 28 on Friday.
Bitcoin ETF outflows: a second $400 million day, and six sessions out of IBIT
Farside Investors’ daily table shows US spot bitcoin ETFs with net outflows of $411.9 million on Friday 6 November. BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) accounted for almost all of it, at $403.0 million. Bitwise’s BITB lost $20.5 million, ARK’s ARKB $20.1 million and Grayscale’s GBTC $11.1 million. Fidelity’s FBTC was the exception, with $42.8 million of inflows. The other funds reported nothing.
Added to Thursday’s $430.2 million, that is $842.1 million out in two sessions. Over the five sessions from 2 to 6 November, Farside’s daily totals add up to outflows of $1,281.7 million, with a single positive day, 4 November, at $74.6 million. Friday was IBIT’s sixth outflow in a row since 30 October, together worth $1,443.2 million on Farside’s numbers. Before that run, IBIT had taken in money on each of the four sessions from 26 to 29 October.
SoSoValue, which tracks the same funds with its own method, reports a daily net outflow of $411.92 million for Friday, with IBIT at $403.00 million and FBTC at plus $42.82 million. The two providers agree on the day this time. They differ on the total since launch: Farside counts $55,766 million of cumulative net inflows, SoSoValue $55.70 billion. SoSoValue also puts the funds’ net assets at $95.90 billion, or 6.28% of bitcoin’s market value, against $104.27 billion on 29 October, and Friday’s traded value at $2.33 billion.
Ether funds saw outflows too. Farside shows $93.3 million out on Friday, nearly all from BlackRock’s ETHA ($90.8 million), and $365.2 million for the five sessions of the week. SoSoValue’s figure for Friday is $93.19 million, with net assets of $12.84 billion.
$2 billion of realized losses: one data source, CryptoQuant
The selling in the funds has a counterpart on-chain. Holders who sold bitcoin below the price they paid realized more than $2 billion of losses over three days, according to CryptoQuant data shared on X by the firm’s analyst Darkfost and reported by CryptoSlate at 00:40 UTC on Saturday. Daily losses ran between $657 million and $703 million, the report said.
Two limits matter. The $2 billion counts the losing side only: other holders took profits in the same window, so CryptoQuant’s weekly net realized profit and loss came to minus $191 million, not minus $2 billion. And the chart CryptoSlate published ends on 5 November, so Friday’s 15:05 UTC drop is probably not in it. We found no other data provider publishing a matching figure, which makes it a single-source reading.
Glassnode’s weekly note of 4 November gives the context without a dollar figure. On data to 11:00 UTC that day, it put the short-term holder cost basis, the average price paid by recent buyers, at $75,700, almost exactly where bitcoin traded overnight. Its summary of the shift since early October: “Short-term holders have gone from nearly all in profit to mostly at a loss”. The same note placed a support band between $73,000 and $76,000.
In the CryptoSlate article, Darkfost called $75,000 the more important threshold and said a failure to hold it could send bitcoin towards $70,000, while Bitget’s Lewis Huang named $76,500 as near-term support. Those are their readings of the chart, not forecasts by Coindaro.
Leverage stayed quiet: $191 million of liquidations in 24 hours
The derivatives market shows the same calm as the spot price. CoinGlass counted $190.78 million of liquidations across all coins in the 24 hours to 07:45 UTC on Saturday, 84.9% less than in the previous 24 hours. Longs made up $125.37 million of the total. For ether, the 24-hour figure was $22.71 million of long positions and $8.57 million of shorts; for bitcoin, $42.02 million of longs and $12.82 million of shorts.
The largest single order of the period was a $2.88 million ether long on Binance, closed at $2,227.16. Open interest across all coins stood at $132.6 billion, almost unchanged. The heavy liquidation wave belonged to Thursday and Friday, when CoinGlass data cited by Decrypt showed $1.05 billion in a day, as told in Friday’s coverage.
Tokyo and Seoul fell 6% on Friday, after bitcoin had already sold
Asian equities took their turn on Friday. Japan’s Nikkei 225 closed at 57,434.77, 5.96% below Thursday, and South Korea’s KOSPI lost 6.02% to 5,059.69, according to Yahoo Finance data. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng gave up 1.27%. Over a week, the Nikkei is down about 10% from 63,954 on 28 October and the KOSPI about 15% from 29 October.
Bitcoin did not follow on Friday. Its large fall came on Thursday, when it lost 5.5% between the 00:00 UTC open and the close. Seoul had already dropped 5.3% that day, Tokyo 1.8%. On Friday, as both markets lost another 6%, bitcoin’s UTC day ended 0.3% lower.
Late on Friday the Nasdaq Composite showed a 1.09% gain and the S&P 500 0.31%, on the last values in Yahoo’s feed, which may differ from the official closes. Asian stock exchanges are shut on Saturday, so the only Asian session this morning was in crypto, and it was flat. The yen weakened slightly, to 158.43 per dollar at 05:21 UTC from 157.50 on Friday’s daily bar.
The week ahead: October CPI on Tuesday at 13:30 UTC
The Bureau of Labor Statistics lists the October consumer price index for Tuesday 10 November at 8:30 a.m. Eastern time, 13:30 UTC; the November figure follows on 10 December. It lands in a market that already leans towards a rate rise. After Thursday’s jobs report, futures traders put the odds of a quarter-point hike at the Fed’s 8-9 December meeting at about 80%, up from 75%, according to Reuters figures cited by CryptoSlate. The Fed last raised rates on 17 September, to a range of 3.75% to 4.00%, and held on 28 October. The date and format of the decision are on our FOMC December 2026 page.
Fed officials are scheduled to speak on four days of the week. The Federal Reserve’s November calendar, read on Saturday, lists the appearances below; times are Eastern, converted to UTC. The page’s footer carries an old update date, so these are listings as published, which the Fed can still change.
| Day | Time (UTC) | Official | Topic |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 9 Nov | 13:40 | Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman | Community banking, Mutual Board Summit, Boston |
| Tue 10 Nov | 09:00 | Governor Christopher Waller | Economic outlook, Bank of England Watchers Conference, London |
| Tue 10 Nov | 20:30 and 23:30 | Michelle Bowman | Economic outlook, Washington, then a virtual event |
| Thu 12 Nov | 15:00 | Governor Michael Barr | Artificial intelligence and inequality (virtual) |
| Fri 13 Nov | 15:50 | Michelle Bowman | Supervision and regulation, Connecticut Bankers Association (virtual) |
| Sat 14 Nov | 00:00 | Vice Chair Philip Jefferson | Productivity, UC San Diego (Friday 7 p.m. Eastern) |
Waller’s speech comes four and a half hours before the CPI release, so it cannot react to it. Bowman’s two talks later on Tuesday, both on the economic outlook, are the first Fed appearances on the list after the figure is out.
Wednesday 11 November is Veterans Day, a Federal Reserve holiday; the Fed says its daily and weekly statistical releases for that day move to Thursday 12 November. The minutes of the 27-28 October meeting follow on Wednesday 18 November at 2:00 p.m. Eastern, 19:00 UTC, after the CPI week.
Crypto dates: Monday’s fund flows and one token unlock
CoinShares publishes its weekly digital asset fund-flow report on Monday 9 November, the first full read of how European and other non-US products fared alongside the US ETF outflows.
Among the unlocks Coindaro tracks, one falls this week: Allora (ALLO), on 11 November, when an estimated 160 million ALLO become transferable as the insider cliff ends. The amount is a tracker estimate, not an official figure; details are on our Allora unlock page.
What the quiet night does not answer
Nobody has explained Friday’s 15:05 UTC flush to $74,722. The $2 billion realized-loss reading rests on one provider, and its published chart stops on 5 November.
Weekend trading is also thin: Coinbase printed less than a fifth of a bitcoin per minute just before 07:50 UTC. A flat Saturday says little about Monday, when the next ETF flows and the CoinShares report arrive on the same day.
The next fixed point is Tuesday 10 November at 13:30 UTC. Until then bitcoin trades around the $75,700 cost basis Glassnode measured for recent buyers on 4 November, and IBIT, the largest fund, has six straight sessions of outflows behind it.