The bitcoin price today, Sunday 25 October, was about $80,450 at 05:48 UTC, according to Coindaro’s market snapshot, down 0.28% over 24 hours and 1.24% over seven days. That puts the largest cryptocurrency back above $80,000 after Saturday afternoon’s slide, which took it to about $79,100 on Coinbase at 15:25 UTC. The night between Saturday and Sunday was flat: no Asia-hours move of note, no new headline that traders could point to.
The calm may not survive the week. US spot bitcoin ETFs reopen on Monday after two days of outflows, the Federal Reserve meets on Tuesday and Wednesday, and about $11.1 billion of bitcoin options expire on Deribit on Friday morning, according to Cryptoticker. Between those dates sit a monthly token release from Plasma that falls today and a build-up of leverage on Monero.
Saturday’s fall itself, from the first print under $80,000 at 14:18 UTC to the afternoon low, is told minute by minute in our analysis of Saturday’s break below $80,000 and Washington’s Middle East moves. This piece starts where that one ended.
Bitcoin price today: back above $80,000 on a quiet Sunday
Seen from Sunday morning, the weekend looks smaller than it felt on Saturday. Bitcoin’s seven-day loss was 1.24% at 05:48 UTC, against about 2.3% at 16:50 UTC on Saturday by Coindaro’s earlier count. Over 24 hours it was down only 0.28%, which puts it close to where it stood on Saturday morning, before the slide began.
The rest of the market followed the same line, with small differences. Ether was a little weaker than bitcoin, while XRP and BNB were slightly up on the day. Solana, which went below $100 on Saturday for the first time since early September according to Cointribune, was back near $102.
| Asset | Price (05:48 UTC, 25 Oct) | 24h | 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin (BTC) | $80,450 | -0.28% | -1.24% |
| Ether (ETH) | $2,347 | -1.17% | -2.36% |
| Solana (SOL) | $101.8 | -0.47% | -1.77% |
| XRP | $1.30 | +0.90% | +0.81% |
| BNB | $743.8 | +0.78% | +3.56% |
| Monero (XMR) | $608.3 | +4.57% | +0.73% |
| Zcash (ZEC) | $1,201 | +2.85% | +5.77% |
| Plasma (XPL) | $0.07294 | -3.60% | -7.01% |
Source: Coindaro market snapshot, 25 October 2026, 05:48 UTC. Total crypto market value stood at $2.71 trillion at that time, down 2.96% over 24 hours, with bitcoin’s share at 59.4% and the Fear and Greed index at 54, in its neutral zone.
Three coins stand out in that table. Monero and Zcash, the two best-known privacy coins, rose more than the rest of the market over 24 hours. Plasma’s XPL fell, on the day a new tranche of its supply was scheduled to reach holders.
The weekly candle closes at 00:00 UTC on Monday, at the end of today. Coindaro’s Saturday coverage named $79,000 as the level traders were watching on the daily close. That is a reference point for this evening, not a forecast.
Washington’s moves on Saturday, and what has not happened
What pushed markets on Saturday was news from Washington about the Middle East, reported from Friday evening. The United States cut staff at its embassies in Jordan, Lebanon, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates, which moved to limited operations, the Associated Press reported, after the State Department ordered non-emergency staff to leave Saudi Arabia on Wednesday 21 October. A memo from Director of National Intelligence Jay Clayton to Secretary of State Marco Rubio said that “Iran has substantially increased efforts to target U.S. personnel”, according to CoinDesk, which also reported that the plots had reached advanced stages.
At a rally in Florida on Friday, President Donald Trump said: “We may do another little ‘Epic Fury.'” CoinDesk also reported that he had threatened renewed escalation after the US midterm elections, which take place on Tuesday 3 November.
As of 05:48 UTC on Sunday, we found no report of a new US military action overnight. The visible moves were staffing cuts and words. Oil had already reacted on Friday: Brent settled at $116.72 a barrel, up 3.1% and its highest settlement since 29 April, and the US 10-year Treasury yield ended near 5%, according to the market data reported by Coindaro on 24 October.
Crypto trades through the weekend, so it took the first hit. Wall Street gives its own answer on Monday.
Spot bitcoin ETFs reopen on Monday after $773 million of outflows in two sessions
US spot bitcoin ETFs have not traded since Friday’s close. They reopen with the stock market at 09:30 New York time on Monday, which is 13:30 UTC and 14:30 in Paris, since US clocks stay on summer time until 1 November while Europe changed overnight.
The last two sessions were heavy. Data from SoSoValue, analysed by The Block, show a net outflow of $635.49 million on Thursday 22 October and $137.94 million on Friday 23 October, and total net assets of $104.43 billion at Friday’s close. BlackRock’s IBIT accounted for $110.34 million of Friday’s outflow and Fidelity’s FBTC for $31.78 million, according to SoSoValue figures relayed by Bloomingbit. The week as a whole still ended in positive territory: The Block had counted more than $1 billion of inflows over the first three sessions, against $773.43 million out on Thursday and Friday.
Ether ETFs took in $4.35 million on Friday but lost $220.60 million over the week, again per SoSoValue via The Block.
Monday’s first data point comes before the ETF open: CoinShares usually publishes its weekly report on fund flows on Monday morning, covering the week to Friday 23 October. It was not out when this piece was written.
Franklin’s FBEQ and FIBT: a listing step, not a launch date
Franklin Templeton’s two new funds, which put stock dividends into bitcoin, are also on the week’s list. Their SEC filings on EDGAR show two steps taken on 22 October: a Form 8-A registering the shares of the Franklin US Equity Bitcoin DRIP Index ETF and the Franklin US Innovation Bitcoin DRIP Index ETF for listing on Nasdaq, and an amendment to the trust’s prospectus set to take effect on 27 October. Neither document gives a first trading day. The prospectus puts FBEQ’s total annual expenses at 0.09%, with a 5% bitcoin weight at the start that dividends push up, capped at 20%. The funds are US-listed. The structure of FBEQ and FIBT is in our report on Franklin’s dividend-to-bitcoin ETFs.
FOMC on 27 and 28 October: decision Wednesday at 18:00 UTC, no projections
The Federal Open Market Committee meets on Tuesday 27 and Wednesday 28 October, according to the Federal Reserve’s meeting calendar. The statement is due at 2:00 p.m. Washington time on Wednesday, 18:00 UTC or 19:00 in Paris, with Chair Kevin Warsh’s press conference half an hour later. This meeting carries no Summary of Economic Projections: the Fed publishes its dot plot only in March, June, September and December, so markets will have the statement and the press conference, and nothing else, to read.
The setting is unusual for this cycle. On 16 September the Fed raised its target range for the federal funds rate by a quarter point, to 3.75% to 4.00%, by a 12-0 vote, according to its statement. It was the first increase since 2023. September consumer prices then rose 3.7% over a year, which revived talk of another move, as covered in our report on the hot CPI print and Fed hike bets.
Prediction markets do not expect a move this week. Kalshi and Polymarket prices compiled by DeFi Rate put the odds at about 93% for a hold in October and about 73% for an increase in December, Cryptoticker reported on 24 October. With a hold priced that heavily, the December question is the one reporters are likely to put to Warsh at the press conference.
Thursday: GDP, PCE inflation and big-tech earnings
The advance estimate of third-quarter GDP and the PCE inflation index are both due on Thursday 29 October at 12:30 UTC. Alphabet and Microsoft report after the US close on Wednesday. Strategy, the largest corporate holder of bitcoin, reports after the close on Thursday, alongside Coinbase and Amazon.
Friday 08:00 UTC: about $11.1 billion of bitcoin options expire on Deribit
The month ends on Friday 30 October at 08:00 UTC with Deribit’s monthly expiry. About $11.1 billion of bitcoin options in notional value are due, roughly 34.6% of all open bitcoin options on the exchange, with a put-to-call ratio of 0.56 and a maximum pain price of $78,000, according to an analysis dated 22 October that Cryptoticker cited. Other trackers have given between about $10.7 billion and $12.2 billion for the same expiry earlier in the month, as open interest moved. Coindaro’s own count on Saturday gave 87,653 calls against 48,764 puts.
A put-to-call ratio below 1 means more calls than puts are open, so positioning is tilted towards higher prices. Maximum pain is the price at which the largest amount of options would expire worthless. It describes where open contracts sit on the day of expiry. It does not say where bitcoin will trade, and it often ends far from the spot price.
The timing is the point. The expiry lands two days after the Fed and one day after GDP and PCE, when dealers who sold options may need to adjust their hedges quickly if the macro data move prices.
Plasma releases about 227.8 million XPL today
Plasma, the stablecoin-focused blockchain, has a monthly token release scheduled for today, Sunday 25 October. Its published tokenomics set an initial supply of 10 billion XPL at the mainnet beta launch on 25 September 2025. Of the 4 billion XPL for ecosystem and growth, 3.2 billion are released monthly over three years until 25 September 2028. The team and the investors hold 2.5 billion each; a third of each share was released on 25 September 2026 after a one-year cliff, and the rest is released monthly over two years.
Coindaro’s arithmetic from that published schedule: 3.2 billion divided by 36 gives about 88.89 million XPL a month for the ecosystem, and 1.667 billion divided by 24 gives about 69.44 million each for the team and the investors. That adds up to about 227.78 million XPL on the 25th of each month. BeInCrypto’s weekly unlock list gave the same amount. At $0.07294 at 05:48 UTC, it is worth about $16.6 million, and it equals about 5.02% of the 4.53 billion XPL that Tokenomist counted in circulation.
Two things are not known. Plasma’s documents give a date but no hour, so we cannot say when today the tokens become transferable. Nor is it known whether team and investor tokens will be moved to exchanges. One tracker, Tokenomics.com, shows a different figure of about 160.7 million tokens; the published schedule supports 227.78 million. XPL was already down 3.60% over 24 hours and 7.01% over seven days at 05:48 UTC. A token release is a scheduled, public event, explained in our glossary entry on what a token unlock is and why prices can react.
Monero leverage and the Zcash upgrade
ZEC traded at $1,201 at 05:48 UTC, up 5.77% over seven days. The network’s next upgrade, NU7, is set for block 3,543,405 in early November, as detailed in our report on the Zcash NU7 activation and its 25-second blocks.
Monero’s story is about leverage. XMR futures open interest passed $300 million last week, close to January’s peak of about $320 million according to SoSoValue data, CoinDesk reported on 21 October, when the spot price topped $600 for the first time since January. That is not a record. XMR reached about $790 in January before falling below $300 in early February, a drop of about 66%. It traded at $608.3 at 05:48 UTC on Sunday, up 4.57% over 24 hours. High open interest means a sharp move in either direction can force a larger wave of liquidations.
Dates to watch this week, in UTC
| When (UTC) | Event | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Mon 26 Oct, 00:00 | Bitcoin weekly candle closes | Exchange convention |
| Mon 26 Oct, morning | CoinShares weekly fund-flows report | CoinShares |
| Mon 26 Oct, 13:30 | US stocks and spot crypto ETFs reopen | Market hours |
| Tue 27 Oct | FOMC meeting opens; Franklin’s FBEQ and FIBT prospectus amendment takes effect | Federal Reserve; SEC EDGAR |
| Wed 28 Oct, 18:00 | Fed decision (press conference 18:30) | Federal Reserve |
| Thu 29 Oct, 12:30 | US Q3 GDP (advance) and PCE inflation | US data calendar |
| Thu 29 Oct, after US close | Strategy, Coinbase and Amazon results | Company calendars |
| Fri 30 Oct, 08:00 | Deribit monthly expiry, about $11.1B of BTC options | Cryptoticker |
| Tue 3 Nov | US midterm elections | US election calendar |
For readers in France and Italy, add one hour to every time in that table: Paris and Rome are now on UTC+1. That puts the ETF reopening at 14:30 on Monday and the Fed statement at 19:00 on Wednesday.
The first test comes tonight, with bitcoin’s weekly close at midnight UTC. Monday’s ETF flows will then show whether Thursday and Friday’s selling carried on into a new week.